The natural energy consultants tell us that the cross over from the petroleum-driven economy and civilization will not be a smooth one, on the whole. The volume of new technologies and infrastructures that need to be engineered and built is staggering - even as Germany accomplishes powering 10% of the entire nation through the usage of wind turbines and solar arrays, even as corporation after firm is springing up, helped by various governments' tax breaks and rebate offers, to drive forward the natural energy mission. We have lain dormant on alternative energy on the grand scale for so long that we now have to scramble to play catch-up as easy access to cheap oil lurks ever closer to being something of the past.
Specialists on alternative energy also tell us that we have to have multilateral, international efforts in concert with one another in the direction of getting away from the weighty-almost total-dependence on fossil fuels. They are positioned to become too expensive, burning them is polluting the atmosphere, and digging for them is disrupting the natural environment. We have about 30 years left of relatively cheap oil and gas - and specialists say that within 20 years over and above that point, we had better be at least 90% independent of them. Unfortunately, at the present time the world is generally not acting as if this is the case. The thirst for oil is increasing, not slaking, and it is increasing faster today than it did even in the 1970s.
One of the major problems of transition, the specialists point out, is that higher oil and gas prices energize the economy (This in turn flies in the face of what many energy so-called "experts" and many members of the public presume, but the fact is that oil and gas are found and manufactured and transported by huge corporations who make use of multitudes of staff workers and contractors; and from their huge profits their stocks remain lucrative on Wall Street.). Natural, or "green" energy must become more marketplace friendly, more worthwhile to investors and would-be employers. Wall Street does not like change; so there is resistance to this much-called for economic cross over. It is because of this that many consultants are saying that we have to have an international, governments-backed initiative put into place; we are told that we cannot expect the new economy to spring forth instantaneously, all clean and polished and perfected, coming from the black cinders of the fossil fuel economy phoenix.
It is most imperative that the wealthy, big-production nations around the world such as the US, Japan, Western Europe, and others be the ones to spearhead the efforts to get off of the fossil fuel dependence. Smaller sized, poorer nations are very simply never going to achieve the level of energy production through coal and oil that these countries have - for by the time they would be equipped to, the cheap accessibility to the fossil fuels will be gone, and they will never be able to sustain their newly-risen civilizations at that point in time as we have been able to do. The time for cross over from black to green is now.
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